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☆ Poll: Election interest hits new low in tight Biden-Trump race
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-21 | by ( Mark Murray | Sarah Dean | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

According to the poll, 64% of registered voters say they have a high level of interest in November's election — registering either a "9" or a 10" on a 10-point scale of interest. The lowest-ever level of high election interest in the poll during a presidential cycle was in March 2012 — at 59%. This election cycle, high interest has been both low and relatively flat for months, according to the poll. By party, the current poll shows 70% of self-identified Republicans saying they have high interest in the upcoming election, versus 65% of Democrats who say this. "They just aren't low interest," McInturff said of young voters.

Persons: Derrick Simonson, Joe Biden, Donald Trump, Biden, Trump, Robert F, Kennedy Jr, Kennedy, Devin Fletcher, he's, Fletcher, wouldn't, Jeff Horwitt, Bill McInturff, —, McInturff, Republican pollster Organizations: Wisconsin, Central Assembly, NBC News, Republican, Biden, Trump, Democratic, Hart Research Associates, NBC, Independents Locations: Douglas County, Superior , Wisconsin, U.S, Wayne , Michigan, New Jersey, New York

☆ Poll: 20-point deficit on handling economy highlights Biden’s struggles against Trump
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-04 | by ( Mark Murray | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

And Biden's deficit versus Trump on handling immigration and the border is greater than 30 points. All together, these numbers explain why the poll shows Trump leading Biden by 5 points among registered voters in a hypothetical 2024 general-election matchup, 47% to 42%. "What is most concerning is the erosion of Biden's standing against Trump compared to four years ago," Horwitt said. That said, the poll shows improving attitudes about the economy, with the share of voters believing the economy will get worse in the next year declining 14 points since October 2022. The two men are essentially tied on the issue of protecting democracy, with 43% of voters preferring Biden and 41% picking Trump.

Persons: Joe Biden, Wade, Donald Trump, Trump, Biden, Jeff Horwitt, Bill McInturff, Horwitt, — Organizations: Force, Reproductive, NBC News, Biden, Trump, NBC, Democratic, Hart Research Associates, Republican, GOP, U.S . Locations: Washington ,, Israel, Trump, Biden's, Iowa, New Hampshire, U.S, Jordan, Michigan

☆ Despite Pause, a Long-Term End to Israel-Hamas War Is Not in Sight
▼ + stars: | 2023-12-01 | by ( Michele Chabin | ) www.usnews.com time to read: +6 min

Its militants killed 1,200 Israelis and foreign nationals, most of them civilians, and fired thousands of rockets into Israel. The ministry does not distinguish between civilians and combatants or those killed by IDF airstrikes or errant Palestinian rockets. At the completion of a humanitarian truce that began on Nov. 24, Israel’s goal is to gain military control over northern Gaza and gradually ferret out Hamas in southern Gaza. The operation in the south “will require a very different mode of operation,” Novik said, because 2 million Palestinian civilians – half of them displaced from northern Gaza – live there. As long as Hamas remains a threat, most of the 200,000 Israelis evacuated from southern Israel cannot go home.

Persons: ”, Nimrod Novik, Israel, ” Novik, Jake Sullivan, Israel’s, “, ” Jonathan Rynhold, Joe Biden, Biden, Jeff Horwitt, Gilad Shalit, Sara Hirschhorn, “ Israel, ” Hirschhorn Organizations: Hamas, Israel, “, U.S, Israel Defense Forces, CBS, Bar Ilan University, NBC, Democratic, Hart Research Associates, Biden, Israel Democracy Institute, University of Haifa, Israel’s Finance Ministry, Palestinian Liberation Organization Locations: JERUSALEM, Israel, Gaza, Lebanon

☆ Poll: Biden’s standing hits new lows amid Israel-Hamas war
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-19 | by ( Mark Murray | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

"Failed promises, student loans, foreign policy in general," said Democrat Zico Schell, 23, of San Diego, when asked why he disapproves of Biden's job performance. "This poll is a stunner, and it's stunning because of the impact the Israel-Hamas war is having on Biden," he said. According to the poll, 40% of registered voters approve of Biden's job performance, while 57% disapprove, representing Biden's all-time low in approval (and all-time high in disapproval) in the poll since becoming president. It's only a slight overall change from September, when Biden's approval rating was at 41% — which was then tied with his previous low in the poll. Biden's approval rating dropped to 31% among these voters.

Persons: Joe Biden, Xi Jinping, Brendan SMIALOWSKI, BRENDAN SMIALOWSKI, Joe Biden's, What's, Biden, Donald Trump, Israel, Meg Furey, Zico Schell, Jeff Horwitt, Bill McInturff, McInturff, Horwitt, It's Organizations: Economic Cooperation, APEC, Getty Images, —, NBC News, Biden, Democratic, Hart Research Associates, Republican Locations: Asia, Woodside , California, California, AFP, Israel, Gaza, Austin , Texas, San Diego, Biden's

Nikki Haley is surging in support among Iowa Republicans and is now tied for second place in the battle for the GOP nomination in the Hawkeye State, according to a poll released Monday morning. Haley has the first-choice backing of 16% of Iowa Republicans – the same as Florida Gov. The poll was conducted before Trump's vice president, Mike Pence, dropped out of the race on Saturday, saying "this is not my time." Even before the realignment, Pence was struggling, having dropped from 6% support in August to 2% in the current poll. The Iowa poll reflects a new political reality for the 2024 elections, with the nominations for both major political parties appearing to be sewn up with two and a half months to go before the first nominating contest.

Persons: Nikki Haley, Donald Trump, Trump, –, pollster J, Ann Selzer, Haley, Iowa Republicans –, Ron DeSantis, Vivek Ramaswamy, Chris Christie, Doug Burgum, Asa Hutchinson, Ryan Binkley, Mike Pence, Pence, Joe Biden, Biden, Robert F, Kennedy Jr, Dean Phillips, Phillips, James Garfield, Jan Organizations: South Carolina Gov, Iowa Republicans, GOP, Republican, Des Moines Register, NBC, Florida Gov, Suffolk University, Boston Globe, USA, New Hampshire Republican, Tech, New, New Jersey Gov, North Dakota Gov, Arkansas Gov, Pence, Trump, Democratic Locations: Hawkeye, Florida, New Hampshire, DeSantis, New, New Jersey, Arkansas, Iowa, Minnesota

☆ Majority of voters oppose Biden impeachment hearings as GOP inquiry begins
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-28 | by ( Bridget Bowman | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

House Republicans kick off their impeachment inquiry against President Joe Biden on Thursday, but a majority of voters do not believe the process should move forward. In a new national NBC News poll, 56% of registered voters say Congress should not hold hearings to start the process of removing Biden from office, while 39% say it should. An overwhelming majority of Democrats (88%) oppose the hearings, while 73% of Republicans support them. Just 35% of GOP voters say support for impeachment would make them more likely to support a lawmaker. But 62% of Democrats say voting to impeach Biden would make them less likely to support a member of Congress.

Persons: Joe Biden, Biden, Kevin McCarthy, McCarthy, Donald Trump, Trump, Bill McInturff, Jeff Horwitt, — Organizations: White, House Republicans, NBC News, NBC, Wall, Democratic, Hart Research Associates Locations: Rose, Washington

☆ Poll: Republicans have advantages on immigration, crime and the economy
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-26 | by ( Alexandra Marquez | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +5 min

Voters overwhelmingly say they trust Republicans to do a better job than Democrats dealing with border security, crime, the economy and immigration, a new national NBC News poll finds. Still, Republicans have advantages on the issues with the widest margins — dealing with border security and with crime. But independent voters polled agree that Republicans are better at dealing with crime (by 19 points) and with the economy (by 25 points). Voters in swing states agreed that Republicans are better at dealing with the economy, crime, border security, immigration, protecting democracy and protecting constitutional rights. Moderates, who make up 34% of the total poll sample, agreed with the topline results on all but two issues — protecting constitutional rights and protecting democracy.

Persons: Joe Biden —, Donald Trump, McInturff, Bill McInturff, Jeff Horwitt, …, — Organizations: NBC, Democrats, Republican, Democratic, Hart Research, NBC News, Republican Party, Democratic Party, Republicans, Independents, GOP Locations: Swing

Republican presidential candidate and former President Donald Trump arrives to address the Pray Vote Stand Summit at the Omni Shoreham Hotel on September 15, 2023 in Washington, DC. According to the poll, 62% have either major concerns (52%) or moderate concerns (10%) about Trump facing different criminal and civil trials for alleged wrongdoing, including for trying to overturn the 2020 presidential election. Another 60% have major concerns (45%) or moderate concerns (15%) about Biden's possible awareness or involvement in the business dealings of his son, Hunter, including alleged financial wrongdoing and corruption. And 47% have either major concerns (34%) or moderate concerns (13%) about Trump, at age 77, not having the necessary mental and physical health to be president for a second term. "I would vote third party in protest if it was Trump versus Biden," Chester added.

Persons: Donald Trump, Joe Biden's, Trump, Biden, Bill McInturff, Jeff Horwitt, —, doesn't, Hunter, Mary Lyon, Kevin Chester, Chester Organizations: Omni, NBC News, Democratic, Republican, Hart Research Associates, Trump, Republicans, GOP, Biden aren't, NBC, Arizona Republican, Biden Locations: Washington ,, Fulton County , Georgia, Tucson , Arizona, Arizona

☆ Trump holds big lead in new Iowa poll, but DeSantis and Scott see paths to victory
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-21 | by ( Kevin Breuninger | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Charlie Neibergall, Meg Kinnard | APFormer President Donald Trump holds a double-digit lead over his closest rival, Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis in a major new poll of likely Republican caucusgoers in Iowa released Monday. Trump garnered the support of 42% of respondents, while DeSantis came in second with 19%. In an overture to Iowa voters, Trump also asserted without evidence that he "saved" ethanol and popular entitlement programs. While Trump and DeSantis share a similar overall approval in the state — 63% for Trump and 61% for DeSantis — the Florida governor's support appears to be much shakier than the former president's.

Persons: Donald Trump, Ron DeSantis, Nikki Haley, Mike Pence, South Carolina Sen, Tim Scott, Charlie Neibergall, Meg Kinnard, caucusgoers, DeSantis, George W, Bush, Trump, Scott, Chris Christie, Vivek Ramaswamy, Ramaswamy, Haley —, J, Ann Selzer, GOP caucusgoers Organizations: Florida Gov, South, Trump, South Carolina Gov, New, New Jersey Gov, Des Moines Register, NBC, DeSantis, Iowa, GOP Locations: Florida, South Carolina, Iowa, DeSantis, New Jersey, China, U.S

NBC News will partner with the Des Moines Register and Mediacom for "The Iowa Poll" in the lead-up to the 2024 presidential caucuses in the state. The partners will work with Selzer & Company pollster J. Ann Selzer to develop questions. “The 2024 presidential election is well under way and it’s critical to capture the thinking of the electorate at every stage of the cycle,” NBC News’ Senior Vice President of Politics, Carrie Budoff Brown, said. “The Iowa Poll has a storied history of setting the stage for the presidential election cycle,” Carol Hunter, executive editor of the Des Moines Register, added. “We are excited to join forces with NBC News and our longtime partners Selzer & Company and Mediacom to bring Iowans and the nation impactful information about the thinking of likely participants ahead of the 2024 Iowa caucuses.”

Persons: pollster J, Ann Selzer, Carrie Budoff Brown, “, ” Carol Hunter, ” Organizations: NBC, Des Moines Register, Selzer, ’, Republican, NBC News, Company Locations: Iowa

☆ Trump’s GOP lead grows after latest indictment, poll finds
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-25 | by ( Mark Murray | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

Republican presidential candidate former U.S. President Donald Trump speaks at the Faith and Freedom Road to Majority conference at the Washington Hilton on June 24, 2023 in Washington, DC. Former President Donald Trump has expanded his lead over Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis and the rest of the Republican presidential field since Trump's latest indictment on federal criminal charges, according to a new national NBC News poll. Yet the poll shows Trump with a sizable — and growing — lead over his Republican presidential rivals in the aftermath of that federal indictment. When the GOP presidential race gets reduced to just two candidates in the current survey, Trump gets support from 60% of Republican primary voters, while DeSantis gets 36%.

Persons: Donald Trump, Ron DeSantis, it's, Bill McInturff, Jeff Horwitt, Horwitt, Trump, Joe Biden, Mike Pence, Chris Christie, DeSantis Organizations: Washington Hilton, Washington , DC, Florida Gov, Republican, NBC News, Trump, GOP, Republicans, Democratic, Hart Research Associates, NBC, New, New Jersey Gov Locations: Washington ,, New Jersey, New York

☆ Kyrsten Sinema’s Party of One
▼ + stars: | 2023-05-01 | by ( Robert Draper | ) www.nytimes.com time to read: +3 min

Katie Hobbs, who received almost 11 percent of the Republican vote in her 2022 victory over the far-right Kari Lake. Sinema, even before she left the party in December, had become the Democrat whom Democrats love to hate. In January 2022, after her refusal to pass voting rights legislation by discarding the Senate filibuster that stood in the way, Sinema was censured by Arizona’s Democratic Party. “The decision was really a no-brainer,” a former state party official told me, adding that the censure resolution was supported by more than 90 percent of Arizona’s Democratic precinct committee members. Hobbs, on the other hand, relied heavily on the turnout of a progressive base that might have reacted poorly to Sinema’s presence on the stump.

☆ NBC News poll: Nearly 70% of GOP voters stand behind Trump amid indictment, investigations
▼ + stars: | 2023-04-23 | by ( Mark Murray | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

And half of those who don't want the 80-year-old Biden to run say the president's age is a "major" reason why. Forty-six percent of Republican primary voters pick Trump as their first choice, while 31% select DeSantis as the 2024 candidate they favor. Businessman Vivek Ramaswamy has 2%.Meanwhile, DeSantis is the second choice of 33% of GOP primary voters, Trump is the second pick of 20%, and Haley is the second choice of 14%. Yet what also stands out in the poll are the nearly 70% of Republican primary voters who say they stand behind Trump despite the different investigations he's facing. Majorities don't want Biden, Trump to run for president in 2024The NBC News poll also comes just days before Biden's expected announcement for re-election.

The poll finds an American public that’s equally concerned about the discovery of classified documents found at Biden’s and Trump’s homes, even though the current president and ex-president handled their situations in different ways. Sixty-seven percent of Americans say it’s concerning that classified documents were found at Biden’s former office and personal home, including 33% who say it’s “very” concerning; 18% say it’s not too concerning or concerning at all. Strikingly, a majority of Democrats (52%) say they’re concerned about Biden’s classified documents, while a majority of Republicans (53%) are concerned about Trump’s. The NBC News poll was conducted Jan. 20-24, so mostly before the Jan. 24 news that small number of classified documents were found at former Vice President Mike Pence’s home. The most popular ideas: providing a pathway to citizenship for undocumented immigrants who meet certain requirements (80% say Congress should do this), taking a harder line against China (75% say Congress should act) and addressing immigration by increasing border security (72%).

☆ Democrats catch up to GOP on enthusiasm in final NBC News poll before midterms
▼ + stars: | 2022-11-06 | by ( Https | Media-Cldnry.S-Nbcnews.Com Image Upload Newscms Mark-Murray-Circle-Byline-Template.Jpg | Mark Murray | ) www.nbcnews.com time to read: +3 min

Forty-eight percent of likely voters say they prefer a Democratic-controlled Congress as the outcome from Tuesday’s elections, while 47% prefer a Republican-controlled Congress. Among all registered voters, congressional preference is tied at 47%-47% — essentially unchanged from last month, when Democrats held a narrow 1-point edge, 47%-46%. Yet what has changed in the poll is that Democrats have caught up to Republicans in election interest. An identical 73% of Democrats and Republicans express high interest, registering either a “9” or “10” on a 10-point scale. In October’s NBC News poll, Republicans held a 9-point advantage in high voter interest, 78% to 69%, after Democrats had previously closed the enthusiasm gap following the U.S. Supreme Court's decision to overturn the Roe v. Wade decision on abortion.

SMYRNA, Ga. — A record-breaking early voting stretch has ended in Georgia and the two candidates in a bitterly contested Senate race are making their closing pitches in the final sprint to Election Day. The contest will test the Democratic-friendly drift in this former Republican stronghold, which voted to elect President Joe Biden and two Democratic senators two years ago. More than 2.5 million Georgians have already cast ballots by mail or voting early in person, setting a new record. Walker, meanwhile, is seeking to consolidate Republicans as his internal polls show Warnock ahead among Democratic voters compared to Walker among Republican voters. “We elected our first Jewish senator from the state of Georgia, our first Black senator from the state of Georgia.

☆ 'Anger on their minds': NBC News poll finds sky-high interest and polarization ahead of midterms
▼ + stars: | 2022-10-23 | by ( Https | Media-Cldnry.S-Nbcnews.Com Image Upload Newscms Mark-Murray-Circle-Byline-Template.Jpg | Mark Murray | ) www.nbcnews.com time to read: +8 min

And two-thirds of reliable Democratic and Republican voters say they’d still support their party’s political candidate, even if that person had a moral failing that wasn’t consistent with their own values. In the Oct. 2010 NBC News/WSJ poll, Barack Obama’s approval rating was 45% (when Democrats lost 63 House seats in that midterm election). Seventy-one percent of voters say the country is headed in the wrong direction, compared with 20% who say it’s on the right track. A divided electorateThe NBC News poll shows just how polarized the electorate is before the midterm elections. And 60% of all voters say that President Biden won legitimately in 2020, compared with 33% (and 65% of Republicans) who say he didn’t win legitimately.

That’s essentially unchanged from last month’s NBC News poll, which had Republicans ahead by 2 points, 47%-45%, well within that poll’s margin of error. In this new poll, Democrats enjoy advantages among Black voters (77%-8%), those in the age group 18-34 (57%-33%), whites with college degrees (58%-38%), women (53%-40%) and Latinos (46%-42%). That’s essentially unchanged from August, when 68% of Republicans and 66% of Democrats expressed high interest. By comparison, Biden’s favorability score in the new NBC News poll is 42% positive, 47% (-5). And on the topic of abortion, 61% of voters say they disapprove the U.S. Supreme Court’s decision in June overturning Roe v. Wade, compared with 37% who approve.

Trump's Save America PAC released a photo showing the former president meeting with House Minority Leader Kevin McCarthy on January 28. It added: "President Trump will always and forever be a champion for the American People." Millions of Trump supporters would likely follow Trump to a new political party — if he chose to break away from the Republican Party. Afterward, McCarthy predicted intraparty peace, saying in a statement: "President Trump committed to helping elect Republicans in the House and Senate in 2022." "President Trump has agreed to work with Leader McCarthy on helping the Republican Party to become a majority in the House."

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